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Electrical Load Forecasting

Author: S.A. Soliman
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 9780123815446
Size: 23.80 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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Succinct and understandable, this book is a step-by-step guide to the mathematics and construction of electrical load forecasting models. Written by one of the world’s foremost experts on the subject, Electrical Load Forecasting provides a brief discussion of algorithms, their advantages and disadvantages and when they are best utilized. The book begins with a good description of the basic theory and models needed to truly understand how the models are prepared so that they are not just blindly plugging and chugging numbers. This is followed by a clear and rigorous exposition of the statistical techniques and algorithms such as regression, neural networks, fuzzy logic, and expert systems. The book is also supported by an online computer program that allows readers to construct, validate, and run short and long term models. Step-by-step guide to model construction Construct, verify, and run short and long term models Accurately evaluate load shape and pricing Creat regional specific electrical load models

Electric Power System Planning

Author: Hossein Seifi
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9783642179891
Size: 30.82 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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The present book addresses various power system planning issues for professionals as well as senior level and postgraduate students. Its emphasis is on long-term issues, although much of the ideas may be used for short and mid-term cases, with some modifications. Back-up materials are provided in twelve appendices of the book. The readers can use the numerous examples presented within the chapters and problems at the end of the chapters, to make sure that the materials are adequately followed up. Based on what Matlab provides as a powerful package for students and professional, some of the examples and the problems are solved in using M-files especially developed and attached for this purpose. This adds a unique feature to the book for in-depth understanding of the materials, sometimes, difficult to apprehend mathematically. Chapter 1 provides an introduction to Power System Planning (PSP) issues and basic principles. As most of PSP problems are modeled as optimization problems, optimization techniques are covered in some details in Chapter 2. Moreover, PSP decision makings are based on both technical and economic considerations, so economic principles are briefly reviewed in Chapter 3. As a basic requirement of PSP studies, the load has to be known. Therefore, load forecasting is presented in Chapter 4. Single bus Generation Expansion Planning (GEP) problem is described in Chapter 5. This study is performed using WASP-IV, developed by International Atomic Energy Agency. The study ignores the grid structure. A Multi-bus GEP problem is discussed in Chapter 6 in which the transmission effects are, somehow, accounted for. The results of single bus GEP is used as an input to this problem. SEP problem is fully presented in Chapter 7. Chapter 8 devotes to Network Expansion Planning (NEP) problem, in which the network is planned. The results of NEP, somehow, fixes the network structure. Some practical considerations and improvements such as multi-voltage cases are discussed in Chapter 9. As NEP study is typically based on some simplifying assumptions and Direct Current Load Flow (DCLF) analysis, detailed Reactive Power Planning (RPP) study is finally presented in Chapter 10, to guarantee acceptable ACLF performance during normal as well as contingency conditions. This, somehow, concludes the basic PSP problem. The changing environments due to power system restructuring dictate some uncertainties on PSP issues. It is shown in Chapter 11 that how these uncertainties can be accounted for. Although is intended to be a text book, PSP is a research oriented topic, too. That is why Chapter 12 is devoted to research trends in PSP. The chapters conclude with a comprehensive example in Chapter 13, showing the step-by-step solution of a practical case.

Modeling And Stochastic Learning For Forecasting In High Dimensions

Author: Anestis Antoniadis
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319187325
Size: 42.58 MB
Format: PDF
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The chapters in this volume stress the need for advances in theoretical understanding to go hand-in-hand with the widespread practical application of forecasting in industry. Forecasting and time series prediction have enjoyed considerable attention over the last few decades, fostered by impressive advances in observational capabilities and measurement procedures. On June 5-7, 2013, an international Workshop on Industry Practices for Forecasting was held in Paris, France, organized and supported by the OSIRIS Department of Electricité de France Research and Development Division. In keeping with tradition, both theoretical statistical results and practical contributions on this active field of statistical research and on forecasting issues in a rapidly evolving industrial environment are presented. The volume reflects the broad spectrum of the conference, including 16 articles contributed by specialists in various areas. The material compiled is broad in scope and ranges from new findings on forecasting in industry and in time series, on nonparametric and functional methods and on on-line machine learning for forecasting, to the latest developments in tools for high dimension and complex data analysis.

Comparative Models For Electrical Load Forecasting

Author: Derek W. Bunn
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471906353
Size: 76.82 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Docs
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This reference describes the methods used to forecast loads on public utility systems, featuring modern documentation and forecasting techniques for lead times of up to approximately 24 hours. Methods include automatic adaptive, univariate, and multivariate. The volume is divided into three parts: an introduction to the general economic and operational decision-making contexts and methods of short-term forecasting; six contributed insights into a wide range of model developments in load forecasting; and further insights into adjacent fields, including essays on the econometric perspective to load forecasting and the very short-term implications of state-estimation for data validation.

Modeling And Forecasting Electricity Demand

Author: Kevin Berk
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3658086696
Size: 78.35 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
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The master thesis of Kevin Berk develops a stochastic model for the electricity demand of small and medium-sized companies that is flexible enough so that it can be used for various business sectors. The model incorporates the grid load as an exogenous factor and seasonalities on a daily, weekly and yearly basis. It is demonstrated how the model can be used e.g. for estimating the risk of retail contracts. The uncertainty of electricity demand is an important risk factor for customers as well as for utilities and retailers. As a consequence, forecasting electricity load and its risk is now an integral component of the risk management for all market participants.

Standard Handbook For Electrical Engineers Seventeenth Edition

Author: Surya Santoso
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 1259642593
Size: 33.14 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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Up-to-date coverage of every facet of electric power in a single volume This fully revised, industry-standard resource offers practical details on every aspect of electric power engineering. The book contains in-depth discussions from more than 100 internationally recognized experts. Generation, transmission, distribution, operation, system protection, and switchgear are thoroughly explained. Standard Handbook for Electrical Engineers, Seventeenth Edition, features brand-new sections on measurement and instrumentation, interconnected power grids, smart grids and microgrids, wind power, solar and photovoltaic power generation, electric machines and transformers, power system analysis, operations, stability and protection, and the electricity market. Coverage includes: •Units, symbols, constants, definitions, and conversion factors •Measurement and instrumentation •Properties of materials •Interconnected power grids •AC and DC power transmission •Power distribution •Smart grids and microgrids •Wind power generation •Solar power generation and energy storage •Substations and switch gear •Power transformers, generators, motors, and drives •Power electronics •Power system analysis, operations, stability, and protection •Electricity markets •Power quality and reliability •Lightning and overvoltage protection •Computer applications in the electric power industry •Standards in electrotechnology, telecommunications, and IT

Spatial Electric Load Forecasting

Author: H. Lee Willis
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 9780203910764
Size: 19.19 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for bot